tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8261438457608174618.post5313543101310281689..comments2023-05-12T16:41:08.754+08:00Comments on Forecast Error: If You Build It, They Will ComeCCLuhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08569770663341206042noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8261438457608174618.post-57754080289025055562010-09-14T19:21:19.068+08:002010-09-14T19:21:19.068+08:00Are there any recommended readings on ECFA? Thanks...Are there any recommended readings on ECFA? Thanks for you replies as always.楊大寶https://www.blogger.com/profile/04692847628587763718noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8261438457608174618.post-72694854197020237962010-09-09T12:41:53.848+08:002010-09-09T12:41:53.848+08:00那顆蛋只要開始蓋,甚至只要計畫通過,就可以提供想像。至於爛攤子,那大概要等到完工啟用後才會慢慢發現。...那顆蛋只要開始蓋,甚至只要計畫通過,就可以提供想像。至於爛攤子,那大概要等到完工啟用後才會慢慢發現。<br /><br />我們還是期望不要發生什麼事情比較好。CCLuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08569770663341206042noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8261438457608174618.post-88507443783596384652010-09-09T12:40:26.426+08:002010-09-09T12:40:26.426+08:00I haven't discussed ECFA because I think that&...I haven't discussed ECFA because I think that's a non-issue.<br /><br />Will it help? Sure, it helps. How much? I'm afraid that's the problem. The difference between a normal FTA and ECFA is not only by the definition of sovereigns, it's how powerful, how rigid the timetable is.<br /><br />I start to think the Chinese government is not confident enough. To apply this soft ECFA shows how much their government tries to protect their state-run enterprises.<br /><br />Taiwan will get some tariff benefits, and that's it. Chinese government will protect their inefficient sectors no matter what because there lies their interests, politicians' interests.<br /><br />I don't think those two points Kho mentioned will be the key to the success of ECFA. First and foremost, it does not create a useful platform for anything. Unless we have a strong mediator, which is a third party and does not represent the interest of either side, we do not have any platform for trade dispute negotiation. China will not let the U.S. to play any role like this, I understand. But the EU should be an acceptable alternative. Short of that, we can forget about this. The power is so unbalanced toward the Chinese side.<br /><br />The second point was debunked by Chinese officials right from the start. <br /><br />Those things worried DPP probably will not happen. However, the benefits KMT claimed will not materialize either. The opposition can shrug it off and move on, but the government will have a hard time facing re-election.<br /><br />Economically, I believe that ECFA is a non-issue. It isn't so politically.CCLuhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08569770663341206042noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8261438457608174618.post-66534378491755312572010-09-08T19:12:45.999+08:002010-09-08T19:12:45.999+08:00那顆蛋丟出來BOT不是為了蓋,所以倒是不佣擔心
比較怕真的有人為了政績硬是讓那顆蛋達到蓋的門檻那顆蛋丟出來BOT不是為了蓋,所以倒是不佣擔心<br /><br />比較怕真的有人為了政績硬是讓那顆蛋達到蓋的門檻克羅迪斯特https://www.blogger.com/profile/05578397305267125092noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8261438457608174618.post-44868346471921710892010-09-08T18:35:11.676+08:002010-09-08T18:35:11.676+08:00Hi,
About ECFA, I read an article from American C...Hi,<br /><br />About ECFA, I read an article from American Chamber of Commerce in Taipei(http://tinyurl.com/29enn6y) weights in pros and cons of the agreement. Kho wrotes benefits to Taiwan includes: <br /><br />1. It creates a platform for trade disputes resolution. <br /><br />2.Taiwan may be able to engage with rest of the world which includes the chance of reengaging of the U.S.-Taiwan Trade and Investment Framework Agreement.<br /><br />Kho also states the the limits of the agreement and urges for further trade liberalization negotiations. <br /><br />However, our IO expert at Evilcapitalismheroes writes almost no merit about the agreement. What's your take on ECFA?楊大寶https://www.blogger.com/profile/04692847628587763718noreply@blogger.com